WELCOME TO THE
BNY INSTITUTE
The latest insights from our experts.
WELCOME TO THE
BNY INSTITUTE
The latest insights from our experts.
Anchored in BNY’s 240+ year history helping clients navigate global markets and building financial ecosystems, the BNY Institute brings together deep expertise and action-oriented analysis across a wide range of topics — equipping clients for a world that never stops changing.
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This quarter, discussions among BNY’s macro and market experts focused on unpacking a widening array of emerging crosswinds shaping a volatile macroeconomic environment. Geopolitical tensions, including disruptions to energy exports from the Middle East, continue to exert upward pressure on energy prices and inflation expectations. At the same time, ongoing investments into artificial intelligence (AI) are supporting capital expenditure, productivity gains, and broader economic resilience.
iFlow® Mood
BNY’s iFlow Mood Index* measures the differences in investor flows into developed market equities and short-dated government paper, capturing the “mood” for risk. Since recording a low after the first year of the pandemic, sentiment has generally been positive, with temporary dips around major supply shocks involving geopolitical and trade conflict. In the first weeks of 2026, the mood for risk has declined, with a pickup in equities selling against steady flows in core sovereign bonds.
*BNY's iFlow Mood Index is a measure of investor preference for stocks or bonds.
Source: BNY iFlow
BNY Institute content provides thought leadership and is not investment research. Views are the authors’ and may change. This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer. For full disclosures, click here.