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Chart of the week

The global economy is holding up

This past year was rife with risks to the global economy: policy changes, tariff uncertainty and more. Yet, the global economy held up as manufacturing and services activity strengthened across the world. We see an opportunity for U.S. investors to diversify geographically.


The global economy remained resilient this past year during a time of pronounced policy and tariff uncertainty, as well as geopolitical tensions. Yet, fiscal support, monetary easing and strong capital expenditures helped economies deliver positive growth.

A key measure of economic conditions, the Global Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a weighted average of the global manufacturing and services PMIs, provides a snapshot of overall worldwide economic health. A reading above 50 indicates economic expansion, while a reading below 50 suggests a contraction. This metric is at its highest since August 2024 and underpins our positive outlook for global growth as we head into 2026.

A strong global economy is important to investors because increased economic activity leads to higher corporate profits, boosting stock prices.  It is one of the reasons we maintain a constructive view on equities and why diversification across regions remains important. 

Impact of geopolitics over time?

Tensions between the U.S./Israel and Iran have recently boiled over into a military conflict, which has given many investors the jitters. However, our research shows that equity market pullbacks resulting from geopolitical events are often short lived with the S&P 500 typically higher in the months following these events.

03 March | English

Behind the numbers: Q4 GDP

Gross domestic product undershot expectations last quarter, but the shortfall appears driven more by the temporary government shutdown than broad-based weakness. Consumer demand remains resilient, and with supportive fiscal policy, easing financial conditions and a steady labor market, the outlook points to a modest acceleration in economic activity this year.

24 February | English

Narrow drawdown?

Equity volatility is rising, but all is not what it seems. The technology sector is weighing on the S&P 500 while value and cyclical stocks lead. A market rotation is underway as many investors begin to favor companies beyond tech.

09 February | English

Capex as a catalyst

Capex as a Catalyst

Improved business confidence and recent tax legislation are compelling corporations to reinvest their cash flows in their businesses. We believe this is a positive signal for economic growth.

02 February | English