INSIGHTS

Persistent cost pressures appear here to stay, yet the same forces that strain rate-sensitive corners of the market may open doors elsewhere. Explore how US equity income can seek out businesses with durable cash flows, reasonable valuations and pricing power through an extended period of elevated costs.

Is France moving closer to a crisis? French government bond spreads are at their widest in almost 15 years driven by high inflation, rising global yields, and ongoing fiscal challenges, among other factors.

U.S. high yield credit spreads have widened year to date, reflecting greater investor caution about perceived default risk. The move also raises concerns about possible credit contagion. However, because spread widening has been concentrated in the lowest-quality issuers rather than higher-quality issuers, we don’t anticipate broader market stress.

Artificial intelligence (AI)-related funding needs are expected to support elevated credit issuance over the next few years. This may create potential investment opportunities but also material risks, reinforcing the importance of careful positioning and rigorous credit selection.

Checkpoints is a comprehensive monthly chartbook highlighting major top-of-mind themes that could shape financial markets in the near term. In addition to the broader macroeconomic discussion, Checkpoints delivers detailed views on major asset classes, including global equities, fixed income and real assets.

The U.S.’ extraction of President Maduro from Caracas on January 4 could alter the trajectory of geopolitics in the Americas.

BNY's commitment to insight and perspectives comes to life through our investment and market leaders who gather quarterly to debate the key issues shaping markets today.