Our 10-Year Capital Market Assumptions look beyond cyclical fluctuations and focus on the structural forces poised to influence the decade ahead.
In our outlook, BNY investments and markets leaders tackle six key questions we believe will define 2026.
The BNY Investment Institute’s base case for the global economy this quarter is Recovery (40% probability), followed by Expansion (30% probability) and Slowdown (25% probability). Read the latest issue of Vantage Point, the team's quarterly economic analysis, for more.
Advanced economies are grappling with historically high levels of sovereign debt.
The AI revolution is not just a tech story; it is a capital allocation story, and private markets are at the center of an AI-driven capital expenditure boom.
We expect market leadership to broaden beyond mega-cap tech in U.S. equity markets. For growth heavy portfolios, the narrowing gap between growth and value signals a potential need to add value investments to reduce concentration risk and improve diversification.
The U.S. and Israeli attack on Iran, resulting in the elimination of Iran’s leadership, is a serious development for regional political and global energy price stability as it could set off moderate to material demand-supply imbalances.
Checkpoints is a comprehensive monthly chartbook highlighting major top-of-mind themes that could shape financial markets in the near term. In addition to the broader macroeconomic discussion, Checkpoints delivers detailed views on major asset classes, including global equities, fixed income and real assets.
The U.S.’ extraction of President Maduro from Caracas on January 4 could alter the trajectory of geopolitics in the Americas.
Value equities have historically shown resiliency during higher inflationary periods versus their growth counterparts.
BNY's commitment to insight and perspectives comes to life through our investment and market leaders who gather quarterly to debate the key issues shaping markets today.