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2025 Q4 MACRO OUTLOOK

Vantage Point: Threading The Needle

Welcome to another edition of Vantage Point, the quarterly economic and markets outlook from the BNY Investment Institute.

Vantage Point

2025 Q3 MACRO OUTLOOK

Vantage Point: Resilience at the Rubicon

As the delayed effects of past monetary and fiscal policy become more evident and the need for new policy takes hold, the BNY Investment Institute expects the coming quarters to challenge the resilience of economies and the durability of markets.

Read more in the latest edition of our quarterly economic and asset allocation analysis, Vantage Point.

Vantage Point
Renewed Sino-US Tensions
Article | Macroeconomic

Sino-U.S. disagreements on export controls over technology and critical minerals are unlikely to morph into a full-blown trade conflict.

Positive on productivity?
Chart of the week | Macroeconomic

Productivity, or output per hour worked, is a key driver of long-term economic growth. Now, after years of stagnation, productivity is on the rise again, a positive sign for future growth.

Vantage Point: Threading the needle
Report | Macroeconomic

Welcome to another edition of Vantage Point, the quarterly economic and markets outlook from the BNY Investment Institute.

Earnings improvement is broadening
Chart of the week | Macroeconomic

Earnings growth is on investors’ minds, especially as it broadens beyond the big tech stocks that have shown the most improvement in the past. We believe this is a positive sign for continued equity gains.

The value of investments can fall. Investors may not get back the amount invested.

Investment Managers are appointed by BNY Mellon Investment Management EMEA Limited (BNYMIM EMEA), BNY Mellon Fund Managers Limited (BNYMFM), BNY Mellon Fund Management (Luxembourg) S.A. (BNY MFML) or affiliated fund operating companies to undertake portfolio management activities in relation to contracts for products and services entered into by clients with BNYMIM EMEA, BNY MFML or the BNY Mellon funds.

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