Welcome to the Quarterly Investment Outlook. Formerly published as Vantage Point, the Quarterly Investment Outlook brings you the same forward-looking perspectives and investment insights in a more concise, easier-to-read format.
Powerful structural forces – AI‑driven innovation, infrastructure transformation, and shifting credit dynamics – are reshaping today’s investment landscape. We think investors require a more deliberate, adaptive approach to portfolio construction.
Our 10-Year Capital Market Assumptions look beyond cyclical fluctuations and focus on the structural forces poised to influence the decade ahead.
Positive correlation between risk assets and government bonds breaks the roles these asset classes play within a portfolio. Here, we outline why correlations have risen, and how investors can seek to limit the impact on their portfolios.
Markets are navigating tensions between a Fed that offers less guidance and an inflation backdrop that remains sticky. Added uncertainty from Middle East tensions and energy-price swings is further shaping sentiment, with recent moves in Treasury yields suggesting the market wants the Fed to hike. However, with yield volatility expected to linger in the near term, we see today’s elevated Treasury yields as an especially compelling opportunity in fixed income.
Renewed hostilities in the Strait of Hormuz are once again threatening the energy flows the global economy depends on — and oil prices are already responding.
Asia’s AI and technology sectors may create income opportunities, while a focus on dividends and cash flow can help balance growth potential with concentration and valuation considerations.
AI investment enthusiasm is rising, but returns will vary widely. Long-term value is more likely where practical, commercially viable use cases are already beginning to emerge, says Walter Scott’s George Dent.
Semiconductor sector volatility remains high as investors weigh surging memory growth against questions over durability and valuation. Walter Scott’s Murdo MacLean breaks down what’s going on.
Walter Scott’s John Rae assesses outsourced drugs manufacturer Lonza’s role in the healthcare ecosystem.
Checkpoints is a comprehensive monthly chartbook highlighting major top-of-mind themes that could shape financial markets in the near term. In addition to the broader macroeconomic discussion, Checkpoints delivers detailed views on major asset classes, including global equities, fixed income and real assets.
The U.S.’ extraction of President Maduro from Caracas on January 4 could alter the trajectory of geopolitics in the Americas.
BNY's commitment to insight and perspectives comes to life through our investment and market leaders who gather quarterly to debate the key issues shaping markets today.
Watch a quarterly Fund update with April LaRusse: Head of Fixed Income Specialists at Insight Investment.