INSIGHTS

Higher interest rates have become a frequently cited risk to corporate earnings and the economy. The conventional thinking is straightforward: when borrowing costs rise, companies face higher interest expenses, profits come under pressure, and economic growth slows. While there is truth to that relationship, the current cycle may differ from investors’ expectations.

U.S. midterm elections are rapidly approaching, with the latest polls pointing to a divided government, with Democrats gaining control of at least one house of Congress.

Both the dot-com era and the rise of artificial intelligence suggest that early productivity data can understate the actual economic impact of transformative technologies. In the case of the internet, later revisions to productivity gains surpassed early estimates. The same may prove true for AI, implying stronger support for growth.

A sharp repricing has pushed 10-year U.S. Treasury yields to around 5.30% following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) 25 basis point (bp) hike in September, with real yields doing the heavy lifting.

Checkpoints is a comprehensive monthly chartbook highlighting major top-of-mind themes that could shape financial markets in the near term. In addition to the broader macroeconomic discussion, Checkpoints delivers detailed views on major asset classes, including global equities, fixed income and real assets.

The U.S.’ extraction of President Maduro from Caracas on January 4 could alter the trajectory of geopolitics in the Americas.

BNY's commitment to insight and perspectives comes to life through our investment and market leaders who gather quarterly to debate the key issues shaping markets today.

After a rough year for global bond markets – one of the worst in recent history – has value returned to the asset class? Managers across Newton and Insight along with BNY Mellon IM’s economist team outline their views.

Watch a quarterly Fund update with April LaRusse: Head of Fixed Income Specialists at Insight Investment.