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2026 Q1 MACRO OUTLOOK

Vantage Point:
Rates, Rules and Reality

Welcome to another edition of Vantage Point, the quarterly economic and markets outlook from the BNY Investment Institute.

Vantage Point

Top picks

How are Diverging Rate Paths Shaping Fixed Income in the U.S., Europe and EM?
Article | Fixed Income

After years of synchronization, global monetary and fiscal policies are now moving in different directions, reflecting varying growth dynamics, inflation pressures and policy priorities.

Venezuela Intervention: Implications for Oil
Report | Macroeconomic

The U.S.’ extraction of President Maduro from Caracas on January 4 could alter the trajectory of geopolitics in the Americas.

Who Are the Long-Term Winners of AI?
Article | Technology

Artificial intelligence (AI) has rapidly advanced from novelty to an integral part of workflows and daily life. Adoption is already surpassing many of the expectations from a few years ago. As usage accelerates, we look beyond productivity gains to see which firms can turn technological advantage into lasting market power.

Monthly Checkpoints
Report | Macroeconomic

Checkpoints is a comprehensive monthly chartbook highlighting major top-of-mind themes that could shape financial markets in the near term. In addition to the broader macroeconomic discussion, Checkpoints delivers detailed views on major asset classes, including global equities, fixed income and real assets.

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Investment Managers are appointed by BNY Mellon Investment Management EMEA Limited (BNYMIM EMEA), BNY Mellon Fund Managers Limited (BNYMFM), BNY Mellon Fund Management (Luxembourg) S.A. (BNY MFML) or affiliated fund operating companies to undertake portfolio management activities in relation to contracts for products and services entered into by clients with BNYMIM EMEA, BNY MFML or the BNY Mellon funds.

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