6 FOR 2026
Essential Questions for Investors
In our annual outlook, investment and market leaders across BNY
tackle six key questions we believe will define the year ahead.
2025 Q4 MACRO OUTLOOK
Welcome to another edition of Vantage Point, the quarterly economic and markets outlook from the BNY Investment Institute.
Checkpoints is a comprehensive monthly chartbook highlighting major top-of-mind themes that could shape financial markets in the near term. In addition to the broader macroeconomic discussion, Checkpoints delivers detailed views on major asset classes, including global equities, fixed income and real assets.
Leaders rotate in and out. No single fixed income sector consistently dominates performance over time, and strong performance in one sector rarely carries over from one year to the next. For example, U.S. Treasury bills led in 2018 and 2022 but are one of the weakest performers year-to-date.
After climbing 17% year to date through late October, the S&P 500 declined 5% through November 20. We believe the market was due for a healthy correction. While further downside is possible, it would not concern us.
Insight Investment senior portfolio manager Harvey Bradley takes an opportunistic and active approach to fixed income and makes the case for global exposure.
The value of investments can fall. Investors may not get back the amount invested.
Investment Managers are appointed by BNY Mellon Investment Management EMEA Limited (BNYMIM EMEA), BNY Mellon Fund Managers Limited (BNYMFM), BNY Mellon Fund Management (Luxembourg) S.A. (BNY MFML) or affiliated fund operating companies to undertake portfolio management activities in relation to contracts for products and services entered into by clients with BNYMIM EMEA, BNY MFML or the BNY Mellon funds.
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