INSIGHTS

Value equities have historically shown resiliency during higher inflationary periods versus their growth counterparts. With inflation remaining elevated, we believe that value opportunities continue to be a compelling option for portfolio diversification and potential stability.

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 25 basis point (bp) rate hike on September 16 marks the beginning of its effort to bring inflation back toward its 2% target. Under Chair Warsh, the Fed’s actions are now aligning with its hawkish rhetoric.

The forthcoming regulatory changes brought about by Solvency II reforms will create new opportunities for European insurers. The 2027 Solvency II reforms do more than reduce capital requirements for some asset classes; they also reduce some of the constraints that have prevented insurers from making certain investments for practical reasons.

Energy inflation is no longer just a crude oil story. Crude oil prices have been volatile and elevated since the onset of the Middle East conflict, raising concerns that higher oil prices could keep inflation elevated for longer. But recent moves in energy markets suggest the inflation risk extends beyond crude oil.

AI investment enthusiasm is rising, but returns will vary widely. Long-term value is more likely where practical, commercially viable use cases are already beginning to emerge, says Walter Scott’s George Dent.

Checkpoints is a comprehensive monthly chartbook highlighting major top-of-mind themes that could shape financial markets in the near term. In addition to the broader macroeconomic discussion, Checkpoints delivers detailed views on major asset classes, including global equities, fixed income and real assets.

The U.S.’ extraction of President Maduro from Caracas on January 4 could alter the trajectory of geopolitics in the Americas.

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