Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility Positive Signals from Capex?
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Positive signals from capex?

Positive signals from capex?

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act’s provision regarding the full expensing of capital expenditures is already having an impact on companies’ investment plans. We believe this a positive signal for economic growth. 


This past Independence Day, President Trump signed the long-awaited One Big Beautiful Bill Act into law. Along with the tax and spending cuts included in the Act are notable pro-growth policies, such as the full expensing of capital expenditures (capex) for businesses. Additionally, under the Act, companies can write off qualifying research and development expenditures in the year they are incurred.

In anticipation of these provisions, manufacturers have begun to increase their capex plans, which we view as a positive signal for future economic growth. Continued reshoring and the growing need for data center power are driving increased capex in the Industrials, Energy and Materials sectors. Additionally, the new tax incentives and proliferation of artificial intelligence adoption are leading to new investment in semiconductors and supply chains,

We expect the Act’s business-friendly clauses to stimulate investment and boost productivity. Historically, rising capex has aligned with stronger growth. 

VERWANDTE THEMEN
A broader foundation for earnings growth
Chart of the week | Makroökonomisch

Although companies benefiting most directly from AI-related capital spending are the main drivers of higher earnings, strength is no longer confined to that group. Earnings across the broader market remain solid and are expected to grow more than 10% this year and next, suggesting the risk of concentrated market leadership may not be founded.

Is the job market stabilizing?
Chart of the week | Makroökonomisch

After sluggish job growth in 2025, investors are looking for signs that the labor market may be stabilizing. With consumer spending driving 70% of economic activity, an improving labor market is essential to sustaining economic growth.

Will markets remain resilient?
Chart of the week | Makroökonomisch

Global equities have risen an annualized 11% since 2020 despite repeated shocks, as resilient growth and earnings have helped markets recover from periods of volatility. While the U.S.-Iran conflict poses near-term inflation and growth risks, markets remain constructive as earnings expectations continue to improve.

Earnings breadth still improving
Chart of the week | Makroökonomisch

Rising earnings estimates continue to support equities despite geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty. With profit growth broadening across S&P 500 industries, resilient corporate earnings underpin our constructive outlook for the stock market.

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