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Quarterly Investment Outlook
2026 Q4

Welcome to the Quarterly Investment Outlook. Formerly published as Vantage Point, the Quarterly Investment Outlook brings you the same forward-looking perspectives and investment insights in a more concise, easier-to-read format.

Equipped for Changing Terrain
REPORT | MARKETS & ECONOMY

Powerful structural forces – AI‑driven innovation, infrastructure transformation, and shifting credit dynamics – are reshaping today’s investment landscape. We think investors require a more deliberate, adaptive approach to portfolio construction.

10-Year Capital Market Assumptions: Endurance Under Pressure
REPORT | MARKETS & ECONOMY

Our 10-Year Capital Market Assumptions look beyond cyclical fluctuations and focus on the structural forces poised to influence the decade ahead.

Treasury yields push to multi-decade highs, and history says they may climb further
Artikel | Makroökonomisch

A sharp repricing has pushed 10-year U.S. Treasury yields to around 5.30% following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) 25 basis point (bp) hike in September, with real yields doing the heavy lifting.

Global infrastructure in focus: Real assets built to grow with inflation
Artikel | Aktien

Persistent inflation and rising infrastructure demand are reshaping portfolios. We explore how global infrastructure may support income, diversification and long-term growth.

Real Return in focus: Investing through persistent inflation
Artikel | Makroökonomisch

Explore how an absolute-return approach may offer flexibility as persistent inflation challenges traditional portfolio assumptions and reshapes opportunities across markets.

History of stocks after the fed hikes
Chart of the Week | Makroökonomisch

Sticky inflation and resilient growth have revived monetary tightening, increasing the risk of higher-for-longer rates and near-term volatility. We continue to believe economic resilience and strong corporate profits should continue to provide a favorable backdrop for stocks, and would use periods of market weakness to add selectively to equities. Additionally, owning real assets can help hedge against inflation.

Monthly Checkpoints
Berichte | Makroökonomisch

Checkpoints is a comprehensive monthly chartbook highlighting major top-of-mind themes that could shape financial markets in the near term. In addition to the broader macroeconomic discussion, Checkpoints delivers detailed views on major asset classes, including global equities, fixed income and real assets.

Venezuela Intervention: Implications for Oil
Berichte | Makroökonomisch

The U.S.’ extraction of President Maduro from Caracas on January 4 could alter the trajectory of geopolitics in the Americas.

Recalculating route
Berichte | Makroökonomisch

BNY's commitment to insight and perspectives comes to life through our investment and market leaders who gather quarterly to debate the key issues shaping markets today.

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