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Returns after Oil Spikes

 

The Strait of Hormuz, which moves about 20% of global oil, has seen many ships that normally travel through it curtail their activity. Consequently, WTI oil was up over 36% in the five days after the oil supply shock began. Yet equities barely budged, signaling a temporary supply shock, not a larger crisis. Historically, after similar price spikes equities tend to move higher while oil prices decline — further evidence for avoiding emotion-driven investing.

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