Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility Healthy Correction?
hk
en
institutional
institutional
false
true
Gathering data
Disclaimer Not Available

After climbing 17% year to date through late October, the S&P 500 declined 5% through November 20. We believe the market was due for a healthy correction. While further downside is possible, it would not concern us.  


After reaching a new all-time high on October 28, the S&P 500 declined 5% through November 20, leading to concerns of a renewed correction. We believe the market was due for a healthy correction and while further volatility may persist, additional downside would not concern us.

History shows that markets don’t move in a straight line, and drawdowns are normal. Since 1946, the S&P 500 has experienced a median annual correction of 11%.

Additionally, we do not believe we’re heading for a bear market or imminent recession, and we see the latest decline as more technically driven rather than a change in fundamentals or a more negative outlook. In 2026, we expect economic growth near 2% and earnings growth to continue to broaden beyond the tech sector, which should support equity performance. Therefore, staying invested and weathering the downside is critical for capturing potential upside. 

RELATED CONTENT
A broader foundation for earnings growth
Chart of the week | Macroeconomic

Although companies benefiting most directly from AI-related capital spending are the main drivers of higher earnings, strength is no longer confined to that group. Earnings across the broader market remain solid and are expected to grow more than 10% this year and next, suggesting the risk of concentrated market leadership may not be founded.

Is the job market stabilizing?
Chart of the week | Macroeconomic

After sluggish job growth in 2025, investors are looking for signs that the labor market may be stabilizing. With consumer spending driving 70% of economic activity, an improving labor market is essential to sustaining economic growth.

Will markets remain resilient?
Chart of the week | Macroeconomic

Global equities have risen an annualized 11% since 2020 despite repeated shocks, as resilient growth and earnings have helped markets recover from periods of volatility. While the U.S.-Iran conflict poses near-term inflation and growth risks, markets remain constructive as earnings expectations continue to improve.

Earnings breadth still improving
Chart of the week | Macroeconomic

Rising earnings estimates continue to support equities despite geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty. With profit growth broadening across S&P 500 industries, resilient corporate earnings underpin our constructive outlook for the stock market.

Gathering data
Disclaimer Not Available

CONTACT US  |  +852 3926 0600