Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility Healthy Correction?
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Healthy correction?

Healthy correction?

After climbing 17% year to date through late October, the S&P 500 declined 5% through November 20. We believe the market was due for a healthy correction. While further downside is possible, it would not concern us.  


After reaching a new all-time high on October 28, the S&P 500 declined 5% through November 20, leading to concerns of a renewed correction. We believe the market was due for a healthy correction and while further volatility may persist, additional downside would not concern us.

History shows that markets don’t move in a straight line, and drawdowns are normal. Since 1946, the S&P 500 has experienced a median annual correction of 11%.

Additionally, we do not believe we’re heading for a bear market or imminent recession, and we see the latest decline as more technically driven rather than a change in fundamentals or a more negative outlook. In 2026, we expect economic growth near 2% and earnings growth to continue to broaden beyond the tech sector, which should support equity performance. Therefore, staying invested and weathering the downside is critical for capturing potential upside. 

VERWANDTE THEMEN
Narrow drawdown?
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Equity volatility is rising, but all is not what it seems. The technology sector is weighing on the S&P 500 while value and cyclical stocks lead. A market rotation is underway as many investors begin to favor companies beyond tech.

Capex as a catalyst
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Improved business confidence and recent tax legislation are compelling corporations to reinvest their cash flows in their businesses. We believe this is a positive signal for economic growth.

Global leading indicator turning higher
Chart of the week | Makroökonomisch

Headline volatility persists and yet the global growth outlook continues to improve. We examined a leading indicator, and why there is good cause to diversify equity holdings if you haven’t already.

A cyclical rotation?
Chart of the week | Makroökonomisch

Stronger growth expectations are driving a global rotation out of growth-oriented and mega cap technology stocks, and into cyclical companies. At a time when geopolitical tensions and tariff discussions continue to simmer, we remind investors to stay invested despite the headline noise.

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