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INSIGHTS

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Quarterly Investment Outlook
2026 Q4

Welcome to the Quarterly Investment Outlook. Formerly published as Vantage Point, the Quarterly Investment Outlook brings you the same forward-looking perspectives and investment insights in a more concise, easier-to-read format.

Equipped for Changing Terrain
REPORT | MARKETS & ECONOMY

Powerful structural forces – AI‑driven innovation, infrastructure transformation, and shifting credit dynamics – are reshaping today’s investment landscape. We think investors require a more deliberate, adaptive approach to portfolio construction.

10-Year Capital Market Assumptions: Endurance Under Pressure
REPORT | MARKETS & ECONOMY

Our 10-Year Capital Market Assumptions look beyond cyclical fluctuations and focus on the structural forces poised to influence the decade ahead.

Treasury yields push to multi-decade highs, and history says they may climb further
Article | Macroeconomic

A sharp repricing has pushed 10-year U.S. Treasury yields to around 5.30% following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) 25 basis point (bp) hike in September, with real yields doing the heavy lifting.

Can high yield compete with private credit?
Article | Fixed Income

For investors’ next marginal fixed income allocation, we believe high yield bonds could be worth considering against private credit in the current environment.

Don’t sleep on value: Potential opportunities amid sticky inflation
Article | Equities

Value equities have historically shown resiliency during higher inflationary periods versus their growth counterparts. With inflation remaining elevated, we believe that value opportunities continue to be a compelling option for portfolio diversification and potential stability.

The Fed takes aim at persistent inflation
Article | Macroeconomic

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 25 basis point (bp) rate hike on September 16 marks the beginning of its effort to bring inflation back toward its 2% target. Under Chair Warsh, the Fed’s actions are now aligning with its hawkish rhetoric.

Monthly Checkpoints
Reports | Macroeconomic

Checkpoints is a comprehensive monthly chartbook highlighting major top-of-mind themes that could shape financial markets in the near term. In addition to the broader macroeconomic discussion, Checkpoints delivers detailed views on major asset classes, including global equities, fixed income and real assets.

Venezuela Intervention: Implications for Oil
Reports | Macroeconomic

The U.S.’ extraction of President Maduro from Caracas on January 4 could alter the trajectory of geopolitics in the Americas.

Don't Sleep on Value: Opportunities Amid Sticky Inflation
Reports | Equities

Value equities have historically shown resiliency during higher inflationary periods versus their growth counterparts.

Recalculating route
Reports | Macroeconomic

BNY's commitment to insight and perspectives comes to life through our investment and market leaders who gather quarterly to debate the key issues shaping markets today.

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