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The Global Economy Is Holding Up

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Chart is for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not necessarily an indication of future results.

The global economy remained resilient this past year during a time of pronounced policy and tariff uncertainty, as well as geopolitical tensions. Yet, fiscal support, monetary easing and strong capital expenditures helped economies deliver positive growth.

A key measure of economic conditions, the Global Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a weighted average of the global manufacturing and services PMIs, provides a snapshot of overall worldwide economic health. A reading above 50 indicates economic expansion, while a reading below 50 suggests a contraction. This metric is at its highest since August 2024 and underpins our positive outlook for global growth as we head into 2026.

A strong global economy is important to investors because increased economic activity could lead to higher corporate profits, potentially boosting stock prices.  It is one of the reasons we maintain a constructive view on equities and why we believe diversification across regions remains important.

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Views expressed are those of the author stated and do not reflect views of other managers or the firm overall. Views are current as of the date of this publication and subject to change. This information contains projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events, targets or expectations, and is only current as of the date indicated. There is no assurance that such events or expectations will be achieved, and actual results may be significantly different from that shown here. The information is based on current market conditions, which will fluctuate and may be superseded by subsequent market events or for other reasons. References to specific securities, asset classes and financial markets are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be and should not be interpreted as recommendations. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but not guaranteed. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission.  

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