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2025 Q3 MACRO OUTLOOK
VANTAGE POINT: RESILIENCE AT THE RUBICON
As the delayed effects of past monetary and fiscal policy become more evident and the need for new policy takes hold, the BNY Investment Institute expects the coming quarters to challenge the resilience of economies and the durability of markets.
Read more in the latest edition of our quarterly economic and asset allocation analysis, Vantage Point.
VIEWS FROM BNY
MID-YEAR MOMENTUM AND NAVIGATING THE NEW NORMAL
Discover views from our experts on key market events from the first half of the year and their outlook for the second half of 2025.
Top picks
Small businesses are becoming more optimistic, a positive indication at a time when economists are debating whether growth will slow. We view this confidence as a positive signal for future growth.
Fixed income was challenged in 2022 due to inflation and rising rates, causing historic losses. But Insight Investment head of global credit, Adam Whiteley believes current high bond yields offer strong compound return potential, especially for active managers.
Uncertainty around tariffs, inflation and interest rates has been looming for months. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve (the Fed) left rates unchanged at its July meeting, to the surprise of market observers. So, the question remains — what’s the Fed’s next move? The BNY Investment Institute considers the factors influencing the central bank's path ahead.
Newton head of mixed assets investment, Paul Flood, discusses the confluence of macroeconomic factors leading the multi-asset team to look outside the US for investment opportunities.