Monthly Checkpoints

Both the dot-com era and the rise of artificial intelligence suggest that early productivity data can understate the actual economic impact of transformative technologies. In the case of the internet, later revisions to productivity gains surpassed early estimates. The same may prove true for AI, implying stronger support for growth.

Checkpoints is a comprehensive monthly chartbook highlighting major top-of-mind themes that could shape financial markets in the near term. In addition to the broader macroeconomic discussion, Checkpoints delivers detailed views on major asset classes, including global equities, fixed income and real assets.

A sharp repricing has pushed 10-year U.S. Treasury yields to around 5.30% following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) 25 basis point (bp) hike in September, with real yields doing the heavy lifting.

Persistent inflation and rising infrastructure demand are reshaping portfolios. We explore how global infrastructure may support income, diversification and long-term growth.